Can Scotland afford to be independent?

The concern is whether Scotland's economy is diverse enough and strong enough to to support an independent country.

How to pay for becoming independent

Setting up an independent Scotland is estimated to be about £25 billion, £15 billion of which comes Scotland's share of UK assets. The remining £10 billion is a one-off cost.

Can Scotland afford independence?

Certainly.  Scotland has adequate renewable energy resources -wind, water, tidal. It has a good manufacturing base with a world class financial sector.  It has thriving service and tourist industries.  The tax basis for enabling economic and social development exists.  It was established in the 2014 referendum that Scotland would not need to take on a portion of the UK debt.

Scotland the Brief

All you need to know about Scotland's economy, its finances, independence and Brexit.

Type of Resource
book
Primary Author or Creator
Gordon MacIntyre-Kemp
Additional Author(s) / Creators
Business for Scotland

Scottish independence: could wind power Scotland back into the EU?

Scotland’s competitive advantage in green energy ought to be an important part of the economic case for independence when the second referendum takes place.

Type of Resource
News Media
Date Published
Primary Author or Creator
Piotr Marek Jaworski
Additional Author(s) / Creators
Kenny Crossan, The Conversation

This is why the Westminster myths about independence are wrong. Open minds on independence #18

This looks at three myths about Scottish independence:

MYTH 1: You'll have had your referendum.

MYTH 2: Scotland has a huge deficit because we spend too much on public services. 

MYTH 3: The costs of establishing Scotland as an independent country will be huge. 

Type of Resource
News Media
Date Published
Primary Author or Creator
The National
Additional Author(s) / Creators
Believe in Scotland

Scottish independence would be 2-3 times more costly than Brexit, and rejoining the EU won’t make up the difference

Scottish independence would be 2-3 times more costly than Brexit over 15 years. Rejoining the EU wwll make up part of the difference in trade value.  This made headline news for a time.  The methodology has been questioned.

Type of Resource
Blog
Date Published
Primary Author or Creator
Hanwei Huang
Additional Author(s) / Creators
Thomas Sampson, Patrick Schneider

Brexit has reinvigorated Scottish nationalism

Scottish independence is a constitutional project, not an economic one. Fixing who governs you takes precedence over an easy life for supermarkets or civil servants. Brexit has shown that a committed government, with the mandate of a referendum and an appetite for dislocation, can go a long way.

Type of Resource
News Media
Date Published
Primary Author or Creator
The Economist

Scottish independence trading costs calculated

There may be significant economic costs resulting from independence.  However, there is no reason Scotland cannot prosper as other small nations have. This report looks at the cumulative effect over 15 years.

Type of Resource
web page
Date Published
Primary Author or Creator
Douglas Fraser
Additional Author(s) / Creators
BBC

Can Scotland afford to go it alone?

With every passing election, Scotland seems to move closer to independence. Investment Monitor explores the obstacles the country would face should it leave the UK.

Type of Resource
Article
Date Published
Primary Author or Creator
Ruth Strachan
Additional Author(s) / Creators
Investment Monitor

Scotland has got what it takes to be an independent country

Independence is about the right of people in Scotland to decide their own future

We’re the ideal size

Scotland is a wealthy nation with a big economy

We’re educated and talented

We have extraordinary energy resources

We export high quality produce and goods

We are at the cutting edge of the industries of the future

We’re big enough, rich enough and smart enough – even opponents of independence believe so

 

Type of Resource
Political Party Paper
Date Published
Primary Author or Creator
Olaf Stando
Additional Author(s) / Creators
Scottish National Party

The truth about the annual GERS figures. Open Minds on Independence #6

There is no set of official accounts that tells us how an independent Scotland’s economy would fare, nor what its finances would look like. Any attempt to analyse Scotland’s finances is instantly hampered by the fact that Scotland is not an independent nation and therefore does not have the same financial data, trade statistics, costs and revenue information available to work with that a normal independent country would have.

Type of Resource
News Media
Date Published
Primary Author or Creator
The National
Additional Author(s) / Creators
Believe in Scotland

Was Britain's economy already broken or will Brexit break it? Open Minds on Independence #5

The economic situation has been made even worse by the unfolding disaster that is Brexit. Scotland voted to remain in the EU, because it was manifestly in our best interests to do so. But our votes were ignored, along with our opinions, our economic drivers and our arguments for a softer Brexit which would have allowed us to stay in the single market.

Type of Resource
News Media
Date Published
Primary Author or Creator
The National
Additional Author(s) / Creators
Believe in Scotland

How is Scotland in debt if it can't borrow? Open Minds on Independence #3:

The accounts don’t suggest Scotland is in debt at all. People just don't understand how to analyse the UK Government Expenditure and Revenue Scotland report (GERS).

Type of Resource
News Media
Date Published
Primary Author or Creator
The National
Additional Author(s) / Creators
Believe in Scotland

Business for Scotland

"We make the case for maximum devolution of power and responsibility possible at any time, particularly in areas such as the economic levers and business policies. In turn, this will allow a Scottish Government to boost economic growth."

Type of Resource
Web site
Primary Author or Creator
Richard Walker

Thinking Outwith the Box, GERS 2020-21 and the SNP conference Agenda

This week, Craig talks to SNP Policy Development Convenor Chris Hanlon and Agnes MacAuley from SNP Greenock & Inverclyde about the latest GERS figures and what they mean (and don’t mean) for Scotland, independence and the post-pandemic recovery. They then discuss up and coming motions to the SNP conference that have been influenced by or based on Common Weal policies including one for a National Transport Company designed to help decarbonise our cars and other vehicles.

Type of Resource
Podcast
Date Published
Primary Author or Creator
Craig Dalzell
Additional Author(s) / Creators
Chris Hanlon, Agnes MacAuley

Beyond GERS: Scotland’s fiscal position post-independence

GERS (Government Expenditure and Revenue Scotland) 2015/16 reported Scotland’s fiscal deficit to be in the region of £14 billion per year, portraying Scotland as the country experiencing some of the most challenging financial circumstances in Europe.

However, this study must be viewed firmly in the light of Scotland being a member nation of the United Kingdom and, as such, any attempt to use them to project the finances of an independent Scotland must be treated with caution and qualification.

Type of Resource
Policy Paper
Primary Author or Creator
Craig Dalzell
Additional Author(s) / Creators
Common Weal

Building Scotland’s future now: A new approach to financing public investment

Investment has become a dirty word in the era of ‘investment banking’. Investment banking is widely considered to be one of the causes of the 2008 financial crash (Varoufakis, 2015). When bankers talk about investing, they mean short-term speculation on stocks, bonds or other complex financial derivatives. That is, a form of trading (or, more accurately, gambling) that contributes nothing to the ‘real’ economy.

Primary Author or Creator
Iain Cairns
Additional Author(s) / Creators
Christine Cooper, Andrew Watterson, Ben Wray, Common Weal