Economy of Scotland

The economy of Scotland had an estimated GDP of $205 billion in 2020. This includes oil and gas extraction in Scottish waters.  Scotland's economy has been closely aligned with the economy of the rest of the UK) and England has been its main trading partner. In 2017, Scotland's exports totalled £81.4 billion, of which £48.9 billion (60%) was with rUK, £14.9 billion with the EU, and £17.6 billion with other parts of the world.

Type of Resource
Wikipedia
Primary Author or Creator
Wikipedia

Brexit, nationalism and disintegration in the European Union and the United Kingdom

The Brexit referendum opened up conflict between executive, parliamentary, national and popular sovereignties in the differing nations of the United Kingdom and had a noticeable effect on British disintegration.

Type of Resource
Academic Paper
Primary Author or Creator
Ben Wellings
Additional Author(s) / Creators
Add additional Authors and/or Publisher

The economics of secession: a review of legal, theoretical, and empirical aspects

Economic theory shows that the decision for a region to remain in a country (or a union) or to secede results from a trade-off between the benefits of being part of a large country, and the costs  associated with more heterogeneity. Literature confirms the importance of these trade-offs and shows that decentralization may be effective to accommodate secessionist conflicts only if certain conditions are fulfilled.

Type of Resource
Academic Paper
Primary Author or Creator
Thierry Madiès
Additional Author(s) / Creators
Grégoire Rota-Grasiozi, Jean-Pierre Tranchant, Cyril Trépier

Can Scottish independence backers win economic argument?

While opinion polls in the past few months have recorded unprecedented and sustained support for independence in Scotland, economists said the short to medium term economic and fiscal difficulties of leaving the UK look substantially greater than they did when voters rejected the idea in 2014.

Type of Resource
News Item
Date Published
Primary Author or Creator
Mure Dickie
Additional Author(s) / Creators
Financial Times

5 reasons Scotland would thrive as an independent nation (updated)

Scotland is economically viable as it has natural resources, a skilled population, strong trading relations, excellent industrial sectors and products, and a well developed financial sector.

Type of Resource
Web site
Primary Author or Creator
Gordon MacIntyre-Kemp
Additional Author(s) / Creators
Believe in Scotland

The SNP must rethink its economic model for an independent Scotland

 With the right plan on currency, economic model and transition, there is no reason why Scotland could not become a successful independent nation. But that plan needs to come from the 2020s, not the 1990s. And it needs to come from a broad cross section of civil society, not just business groups.

Far from being an asset to the independence cause, the Growth Commission is its biggest liability. It’s time, as we say, ‘tae think again’.

Type of Resource
Assessment report
Date Published
Primary Author or Creator
Laurie Macfarlane
Additional Author(s) / Creators
Open Democracy

How would an independent Scotland pay for it?

It’s that time of year again when unionists start spreading lies about how an independent Scotland is subsidised by taxpayers money from the rest of the United Kingdom.

Type of Resource
News Media
Date Published
Primary Author or Creator
Cameron Archibald
Additional Author(s) / Creators
Bella Caledonia

Can Scotland afford to go it alone?

With every passing election, Scotland seems to move closer to independence. Investment Monitor explores the obstacles the country would face should it leave the UK.

Type of Resource
Article
Date Published
Primary Author or Creator
Ruth Strachan
Additional Author(s) / Creators
Investment Monitor

A Guide to the Government Expenditure and Revenue Scotland (GERS) Report

The possible financial costs and risks, or savings and opportunities, of implementing a new constitutional framework are, naturally, not considered in GERS. Similarly, it does not report on the effects of faster or slower economic growth in an independent Scotland.

Type of Resource
Academic Paper
Primary Author or Creator
Fraser of Allander Institute
Additional Author(s) / Creators
University of Strathclyde

Where does Scotland’s wealth go?

When you compare the map of where the wealth ends up with a map of where the UK’s wealth is generated, the union drains wealth from Scotland.

Type of Resource
Web site
Primary Author or Creator
Gordon MacIntyre-Kemp
Additional Author(s) / Creators
Business for Scotland

Government Expenditure & Revenue Scotland 2020-21

Estimated total expenditure for the benefit of Scotland by the Scottish Government, UK Government, and all other parts of the public sector was £99.2 billion. Spending increased by 21.0%, reflecting the costs of the health and wider economic interventions in response pandemic. This is equivalent to 9.1% of total UK public sector expenditure, or £18,144 per person, which is £1,828 per person greater than the UK average.

Type of Resource
government report
Date Published
Primary Author or Creator
Scottish Government
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HS2 will not cost Scotland £17 billion

There is no evidence for the claim that HS2 will cost Scotland. In effect, all money spent by Scotland on HS2 is returned through the Barnett formula.

Type of Resource
Fact check
Date Published
Primary Author or Creator
Full Fact
Additional Author(s) / Creators
Add additional Authors and/or Publisher

The political economy of and practical policies for inclusive growth—a case study of Scotland

The article reports comparative analysis of economic and planning policy documents from Scotland, England and the UK.  This indetifies four key policy areas for ‘inclusive growth’: skills, transport and housing for young people; city-regional governance; childcare; and place-making.

Type of Resource
Academic Paper
Date Published
Primary Author or Creator
Donald Houston
Additional Author(s) / Creators
Georgiana Varna, Iain Docherty

What Does Good Green Infrastructure Planning Policy Look Like? Developing and Testing a Policy Assessment Tool Within Central Scotland UK

the best performing policies were captured and adapted to inform a suite of model policies with global application. Significantly, the policies champion the different functions performed by GI and stress the need for early and ongoing involvement throughout any development process with funding for long-term stewardship post-development.

Type of Resource
Academic Paper
Date Published
Primary Author or Creator
Max Hislop
Additional Author(s) / Creators
Alister J. Scott, Alastair Corbett

The Transformation of Scotland; the Economy since 1700

There are issues, such as the distribution of income, which merit particular attention in Scotland's case.  There are also contradictions in explanations of Scotland's economic performance that have to be addressed.

Type of Resource
Book
Primary Author or Creator
T M Devine
Additional Author(s) / Creators
C H Lee, G C Peden, Edinburgh University Press

How Scotland suffers most from Brexit? Open Minds on Independence #10

Brexit is just the latest and most obvious example of the democratic deficit which makes the Union so damaging to Scotland and renders it impossible for the people of Scotland to have any control over our country’s future.

Type of Resource
News Media
Date Published
Primary Author or Creator
Believe in Scotland
Additional Author(s) / Creators
The National

The truth about the annual GERS figures. Open Minds on Independence #6

There is no set of official accounts that tells us how an independent Scotland’s economy would fare, nor what its finances would look like. Any attempt to analyse Scotland’s finances is instantly hampered by the fact that Scotland is not an independent nation and therefore does not have the same financial data, trade statistics, costs and revenue information available to work with that a normal independent country would have.

Type of Resource
News Media
Date Published
Primary Author or Creator
The National
Additional Author(s) / Creators
Believe in Scotland

Was Britain's economy already broken or will Brexit break it? Open Minds on Independence #5

The economic situation has been made even worse by the unfolding disaster that is Brexit. Scotland voted to remain in the EU, because it was manifestly in our best interests to do so. But our votes were ignored, along with our opinions, our economic drivers and our arguments for a softer Brexit which would have allowed us to stay in the single market.

Type of Resource
News Media
Date Published
Primary Author or Creator
The National
Additional Author(s) / Creators
Believe in Scotland