What is the financial impact on Scotland of independence?

There are three aspects - initial debts inherited, the cost of work to establish operations, and the continuing financial position. The costs can be covered by the assets transferred to Scotland, issuing of bonds, and borrowing as all nations do.

England does not subsidise Scotland

No. When the UK debt repayments are removed from GERS, it shows Scotland has a surplus.  The UK Government has diverted Scotland’s wealth to the UK Treasury to pay off its debts.  Thus it creates 100% of Scotland’s supposed debts and 100% of its phoney deficit. 

This is why the Westminster myths about independence are wrong. Open minds on independence #18

This looks at three myths about Scottish independence:

MYTH 1: You'll have had your referendum.

MYTH 2: Scotland has a huge deficit because we spend too much on public services. 

MYTH 3: The costs of establishing Scotland as an independent country will be huge. 

Type of Resource
News Media
Date Published
Primary Author or Creator
The National
Additional Author(s) / Creators
Believe in Scotland

TRANSITION TO A SCOTTISH CURRENCY

The decision on Scottish independence is a decision for the people of Scotland.  When making that decision it should be clear which currency an independent Scotland would use. If the people of Scotland vote for an independent Scotland with its own currency, that democratic mandate should be respected.

Type of Resource
Policy Paper
Primary Author or Creator
Peter Ryan
Additional Author(s) / Creators
Scottish Independence Convention

PARTING WAYS How Scotland and the remaining UK could negotiate the separation of debts and assets

All of the plausible negotiating strategies represent clear advantages for an independent Scotland.  Even the least advantageous (the Annual Solidarity Payment) presents a scenario where Scotland would save around £1.5 billion per year in debt interest payments compared to that currently assigned to Scotland in GERS.

Type of Resource
Policy Paper
Primary Author or Creator
Craig Dalzell
Additional Author(s) / Creators
Scottish Independence Convention

Can Scottish independence backers win economic argument?

While opinion polls in the past few months have recorded unprecedented and sustained support for independence in Scotland, economists said the short to medium term economic and fiscal difficulties of leaving the UK look substantially greater than they did when voters rejected the idea in 2014.

Type of Resource
News Item
Date Published
Primary Author or Creator
Mure Dickie
Additional Author(s) / Creators
Financial Times

How would an independent Scotland pay for it?

It’s that time of year again when unionists start spreading lies about how an independent Scotland is subsidised by taxpayers money from the rest of the United Kingdom.

Type of Resource
News Media
Date Published
Primary Author or Creator
Cameron Archibald
Additional Author(s) / Creators
Bella Caledonia

Can Scotland afford to go it alone?

With every passing election, Scotland seems to move closer to independence. Investment Monitor explores the obstacles the country would face should it leave the UK.

Type of Resource
Article
Date Published
Primary Author or Creator
Ruth Strachan
Additional Author(s) / Creators
Investment Monitor

What are the implications of independence for public revenues and spending?

There is no question that an independent Scotland could run a sustainable budget. But like the UK, an independent Scotland would face major fiscal challenges both in the short and long run. Based upon the latest data, an independent Scotland is likely to face greater challenges than the UK as a whole (at least in the short-term).

Type of Resource
Assessment report
Primary Author or Creator
Graeme Roy
Additional Author(s) / Creators
David Eiser, Centre on Constitutional Change

The truth about the annual GERS figures. Open Minds on Independence #6

There is no set of official accounts that tells us how an independent Scotland’s economy would fare, nor what its finances would look like. Any attempt to analyse Scotland’s finances is instantly hampered by the fact that Scotland is not an independent nation and therefore does not have the same financial data, trade statistics, costs and revenue information available to work with that a normal independent country would have.

Type of Resource
News Media
Date Published
Primary Author or Creator
The National
Additional Author(s) / Creators
Believe in Scotland

How is Scotland in debt if it can't borrow? Open Minds on Independence #3:

The accounts don’t suggest Scotland is in debt at all. People just don't understand how to analyse the UK Government Expenditure and Revenue Scotland report (GERS).

Type of Resource
News Media
Date Published
Primary Author or Creator
The National
Additional Author(s) / Creators
Believe in Scotland