Voter opposition to Scottish independence
Voters born in England, older voters, more wealthy voters, Brexit supporters, Labour and conservative voters are all most likely to oppose Scottish independence.
Supporters of Scottish independence
Voters not born in Scotland are likely to be persuadable to Yes. Support for independence is volatile in males aged 34-55, but is stable in other groups. Social groups ABC1 tend to vote "No", but the proportion changes rapidly, indicating there are persuadable people in the group. C2DE social groups are most likely "Yes" voters. Labour and Liberal Democrat voters are volatile in their support for independence. Conservative voters are the most likely to vote "No", although 5% are independence voters.
What are the arguments against Scottish independence?
There’s a multitude of reasons why people aren’t in favour of independence. We take a look at them including the economy, borders, currency, whether there is real benefit to the union.
Type of Resource
News Item
Date Published
The Demographics of Independence – 2021 Edition
Country of Birth is a substantial driver of support for independence. Support for independence is particularly volatile amongst males aged 34-55 but remains relatively stable for other age groups. Support for independence amongst females is generally rising in all age groups.
Remain voters are far more likely to say they will vote for independence and Leave voters now far more likely to vote against.
Social grades ABC1 were overwhelmingly likely to vote No. Social grades C2DE are extremely likely to vote for independence.
Type of Resource
Assessment report
Date Published